If the U.S. falls into an economic recession this year, it is predicted that the high-income class will suffer more than usual.
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on the 3rd (local time), suggesting a new term "rich," a combination of "rich," which means rich in the sense of recession, and "recession," which means recession.
Net assets of the top 5 percent in the U.S. rose 22 percent in the third quarter of last year compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic, but fell 7.1 percent from the end of 2021. In the case of high-income earners, overall assets increased due to the stock market boom caused by quantitative easing after the COVID-19 outbreak, but the stock market weakened overall last year as the world raised interest rates sharply, reducing funds to prepare for the recession compared to the previous year.
The fact that layoffs are spreading around tech companies that receive high salaries despite the overheated labor market is also a factor that harms the job stability of high-income families. Most of them are highly educated and highly skilled workers, so they can find new jobs more easily than other workers, but there is no guarantee that they will not be paid until they find a new job, as well as that they will receive wages at the level of their previous jobs.
In the case of low-income people, it is evaluated that they are more ready to respond to the economic recession in terms of assets and job stability than before.
According to the U.S. Federal Reserve System (Fed), the net assets of the bottom 20% of households in terms of income in the third quarter of last year rose 17% compared to the end of 2021. Compared to the end of 2019, before the outbreak of COVID-19, it increased by 42%. It is analyzed that this is due to the government's various subsidies and subsidies during the COVID-19 period.
A sharp rise in wages due to the recent boom in the job market also helped raise the net assets of lower-income households. According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (Fed), the wage increase of the bottom 25% in November last year was 7.4%, which was greater than the wage increase of the top 25% (4.8%). Industries that hire more low- and middle-income workers are still suffering from labor shortages, so this trend of wage growth is likely to continue for the time being.
Meanwhile, the WSJ predicted that even in the event of a recession in the future, job stability in the service industry where low-income families are engaged will be relatively high.
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